Discovery Reports Preliminary Economic Assessment on Cordero with After-Tax NPV of US$1.2 B, IRR of 38% and Payback of 2.0 Years
A video presentation that accompanies this release can be found at:
November 30, 2021, Toronto, Ontario - Discovery Silver Corp. (TSX-V: DSV, OTCQX: DSVSF) (“Discovery” or the “Company”) is pleased to announce results from its Preliminary Economic Assessment (“PEA” or “the Study”) on its 100%-owned Cordero silver project (“Cordero” or “the Project”) located in Chihuahua State, Mexico.
Study highlights include (all figures are in USD unless otherwise noted):
- Excellent project economics: Base Case after-tax NPV5% of $1.2 B (C$1.5 B) and IRR of 38% (Ag - $22.00/oz, Au - $1,600/oz, Pb - $1.00/lb and Zn - $1.20/lb).
- Exceptional silver price leverage: Upside Case after-tax NPV5% of $1.9 B (C$2.4 B) and IRR of 55% (Ag - $27.50/oz, Au - $1,880/oz, Pb - $1.10/lb and Zn - $1.45/lb based on one-year trailing 90th percentile prices).
- Large-scale, high-margin, long mine life asset: 16-year mine life with average annual production of 26 Moz AgEq at an AISC of $12.35/oz AgEq.
- Low capital intensity: initial development capex of $368 M; attractive NPV-to-capex ratio of 3.2x.
- Rapid payback: post-tax payback of 2.0 years for Base Case and 1.4 years for Upside Case.
- Technically robust study: 99% of tonnes processed in the PEA mine plan are in the Measured & Indicated category; process design and metallurgical recovery estimates are based on the Company’s comprehensive 2021 metallurgical testwork program.
- Silver-dominant revenues: silver represents +60% of the net smelter return in the first five years of the mine life and +50% of the net smelter return over the life of mine, in-line with the senior/mid-tier silver producer group.
Taj Singh, President and CEO, states: “With annual AgEq production averaging more than 26 Moz over a +15-year mine life we believe this PEA clearly positions Cordero as a Tier 1 silver asset. This impressive scale of production is achieved through modest development capex of $368 M and returns excellent margins with AISC averaging less than $12.50/AgEq oz over the life of the mine. These costs highlight the benefits of existing local infrastructure, excellent metallurgy, and a straight-forward open pit mine with excellent grades and a low strip ratio.
“Importantly, the outstanding metrics demonstrated in the PEA are supported by a mine plan with more than 99% of tonnes in the Measured and Indicated category, and a simple and conventional process design based on our detailed metallurgical testwork program completed earlier this year. This provides us with a huge head start as we look ahead to the delivery of a Prefeasibility Study on Cordero in 2022.”
- The Study is based on the updated Mineral Resource Estimate (“Resource”) press released on October 20, 2021 (see Appendices for Resource details), and the Company’s comprehensive metallurgical testwork program described in our press release dated September 7, 2021.
- The PEA project team was led by Ausenco Engineering Canada Inc. (“Ausenco”), an industry leader in cost-effective design and construction. Ausenco was supported by AGP Mining Consultants Inc. (“AGP”) and Knight Piésold and Co. (USA) (“Knight Piésold”).
Sensitivity of the Project’s expected after-tax NPV, IRR and payback at different commodity price assumptions is outlined in the table below:
|Units||Base Case||Upside Case||Base Case +15%||Base Case -15%|
|After-Tax NPV (5% discount rate)||(US$ M)||$1,160||$1,889||$1,692||$622|
|Internal Rate of Return||(%)||38.2%||54.6%||49.9%||25.2%|
- Base Case price assumptions: Ag = $22.00/oz, Au = $1,600/oz, Pb = $1.00/lb, Zn = $1.20/lb
- Upside Case price assumptions: Ag = $27.50/oz, Au = $1,880/oz, Pb = $1.10/lb, Zn = $1.45/lb based on one-year trailing 90th percentile prices
After-Tax Free Cash Flow:
A chart summarizing the expected annual and cumulative after-tax free cash flow (“FCF”) over the life-of-mine (“LOM”) is provided below:
Production & Costs:
Annual production over the LOM is expected to average 26 Moz AgEq with production averaging over 33 Moz AgEq when fully ramped up (Years 5 – 12); this positions Cordero as one of the largest silver mines globally.
|Units||Year 1 – 4||Year 5 - 12||Year 13 - 16||LOM|
|AgEq Produced - Average||(Moz)||29||33||9||26|
|AgEq Payable - Average||(Moz)||26||29||8||23|
|AgEq Produced - Total||(Moz)||117||265||37||426|
|AgEq Payable - Total||(Moz)||104||230||32||372|
|All-In Sustaining Cost (AISC)||(US$/AgEq oz)||$11.64||$11.77||$18.88||$12.35|
Note – LOM production/payable totals include production from Year -1. AgEq Produced is metal recovered in doré/concentrate. AgEq Payable is metal payable from doré/concentrate and incorporates metal payment terms outlined in the Concentrate Terms section below. See Technical Disclosure section for AgEq and AISC calculation methodology.
LOM Production & AISC:
Note – Au/Pb/Zn production is shown on an AgEq basis based on: Ag = $22/oz, Au = $1,600/oz, Pb = $1.00/lb and Zn = $1.20/lb
The mine plan incorporates accelerated stripping as well as stockpiling of low-grade material in order to optimize the grade profile over the LOM.
- The mine plan was completed by AGP and is based on a detailed mine design that incorporates mining dilution, safety berms and haul roads.
- Mining rates over the life of the mine are relatively steady at 60 to 70 Mtpa.
- The ultimate pit contains 719 Mt in total consisting of 228 Mt of mill feed and 491 Mt of waste for an average strip ratio of 2.2:1. The strip ratio is relatively even over the LOM.
- Pit slope designs were based on an assessment by Knight Piésold that was supported by two geotechnical coreholes in the North Corridor and logging of core from two exploration coreholes in the South Corridor.
Processing was broken into two phases to optimize the capital efficiency of the project.
- Phase 1 throughput (Year -1 to Year 4)
- Oxides: mined during the preproduction period and are crushed through the Phase 1 crushing plant and stacked on the heap leach from Year -1 to Year 3 at a throughput rate of 5 Mtpa. After Year 3 the Phase 1 crushing plant is dedicated to processing higher-value sulphide material with remaining oxide material processed as uncrushed ‘run-of-mine’ (“ROM”) material via heap leaching.
- Sulphides: crushing, grinding and flotation circuit is constructed in Year -1 and processing occurs at a nameplate rate of 7.2 Mtpa from Year 1 to Year 4. During this period the mine plan focuses on high-grade material from the Pozo de Plata zone.
- Phase 2 throughput (Year 5+)
- Sulphides: two identical crushing, grinding and flotation circuits from Y5 onwards with total throughput of 14.4 Mtpa
|Annual Throughput (Mt/a)||PHASE 1||PHASE 2|
|Year -1||Year 1||Year 2||Year 3||Year 4||Year 5+|
|Oxides / Heap Leach (Crushed)||5.0||5.0||5.0||5.0||-||-|
|Sulphides / Milling||-||5.8||7.2||7.2||10.8||14.4|
- Process design
- Oxides: three-stage crushing (targeted crush size of 8 mm), agglomeration, heap leaching and refining in Year -1 to Year 3 and ROM dump leaching and refining in Year 4 to Year 6 to produce Ag-Au doré bars
- Sulphides: three-stage crushing, grinding (targeted grind size of 200 micron) and flotation to produce Pb and Zn concentrates
The mine plan focuses on feeding higher grades to the mill earlier in the mine life:
- Year 1 – 4: processing of higher-grade oxide material from the South Corridor and sulphide material predominantly from the Pozo de Plata zone
- Year 5 – 12: processing of higher-grade sulphides from the NE Extension and the South Corridor
- Year 13 – 16: processing of lower-grade material stockpiled during Year 1 to Year 12
|HEAD GRADES||UNIT||PHASE 1||PHASE 2||LOM|
|Year 1 – 4||Year 5 – 12||Year 13 – 16|
Note – Phase 1 and LOM Oxide tonnes/grades include tonnes processed on the heap leach in Year -1
- Oxides: recoveries were based on coarse bottle roll tests and preliminary results from column leach tests completed in 2021. Recoveries average 56% for Ag and 63% for Au for crushed feed and 36% for Ag and 35% for Au for uncrushed ROM feed.
- Sulphides: recoveries were based on the 2021 metallurgical test program which included lock-cycle tests and examined metal recoveries to the silver-lead concentrate and the silver-zinc concentrate at varying head grades for each of the major geological rock types at Cordero. Metal recoveries to the two concentrates are summarized below:
|SULPHIDE RECOVERIES (weighted average)||PHASE 1||PHASE 2||LOM|
|Year 1 – 4||Year 5 – 12||Year 13 – 16|
Tailings Management Facility (TMF):
- The TMF design was completed by Knight Piésold and is based on a conventional thickened tailings dam facility of downstream construction type.
- The TMF is located directly west of the open pit. The design incorporates five dam lifts over the LOM.
- Total capacity of the TMF is 179M m3 (252 Mt); this is significantly greater than the estimated volume requirement of 142M m3 based on the PEA mine plan.
- An evaluation of using a dry-stacked tailings facility will be completed as part of pre-feasibility work.
- Cordero is expected to produce clean, highly saleable concentrates with minimal penalty elements as established in the 2021 metallurgical test program.
- Industry standard payables and deductions were applied to the Pb and Zn concentrates as per the table below. A metallurgical balance summary is included in the Appendices.
- Approximately 85% of the Ag reports to the Pb concentrate where higher payabilities are received.
|Average concentrate grade LOM||2,900 g/t||1.6 g/t||52%||-|
|Minimum deduction||50 g/t||1 g/t||3 units||-|
|Average concentrate grade LOM||300 g/t||0.5 g/t||-||51%|
|Deduction||3 oz/t||1 g/t||-||-|
- Treatment and refining charges were based on a review of spot and recent benchmark pricing and are summarized as follows:
|PARAMETER||UNITS||PEA COST||SPOT||2021 BENCHMARK|
|Treatment charge – Pb con||$/dmt||$100||~$60||$140|
|Treatment charge – Zn con||$/dmt||$200||~$80||$160|
|Ag refining charge – Pb con||$/oz||$1.00||~$0.75||$1.50|
- Transportation costs assume trucking of the concentrate via containers to the international port at Guaymas, Sonora, and then shipping via ocean freight to Asia.
- Estimated transportation costs (trucking, port handling and ocean freight) are $128/wmt for Pb concentrate and $116/wmt for Zn concentrate.
Initial Capital (for parallel processing of crushed oxides and sulphides)
- Year -2: construction of on-site infrastructure, power line and the heap leach circuit with capacity of 5 Mtpa to process oxide/transition material (includes a three-stage oxide crushing circuit, heap leach pad/ponds and Merrill Crowe plant).
- Year -1: first sulphide circuit with a capacity of 7.2 Mtpa (includes sulphide crushing circuit, ball mill and flotation plant) and construction of the TMF including the initial dam lift.
Expansion Capital (to expand plant to 14.4 Mtpa sulphides only)
- Year 3: addition of second sulphide circuit to expand processing rate to 14.4 Mtpa by the addition of a ball mill and flotation circuit creating two parallel sulphide circuits. The crushing circuit previously used for oxides will be dedicated to sulphides from Year 4 onwards and will not require repurposing.
- Year 8: expand flotation circuit with additional flotation cells, cyclones, filters and thickeners to accommodate the higher zinc grades from Year 9 to Year 11.
- TMF: the tailings dam will be completed in five lifts over the LOM at a total capital cost of $110 M ($15 M initial capex plus $95 M of sustaining capex).
- Other: additional sustaining capex totals $113 M over the LOM and includes sustaining capital for the process plant and mobile equipment and replacements/refurbishments of infrastructure assets.
|DESCRIPTION (all in US$ millions)||INITIAL CAPITAL||EXPANSION CAPITAL||SUSTAINING
|Year -2||Year -1||Year 3||Year 8|
|Heap Leach + Oxide Plant||$71||$1||$4||$76|
|Sulphide Processing Plant||$95||$51||$23||$30||$199|
|Tailings Facility (TMF)||$15||$95||$110|
|Closure (net of Salvage Value)||$22||$22|
|Capital Expenditures - Subtotals||$187||$181||$94||$35||$208||$704|
|Process + G&A Costs||($27)|
|Operating Cash Flow for Year -1||($16)|
|NET FUNDING REQUIREMENT||$384|
OPERATING COST ASSUMPTIONS:
- Mining is assumed to be completed by contract mining; estimated mining costs were based on contractor quotes for Cordero received by AGP
Processing and G&A Costs:
- Processing costs for the heap leach and mill/flotation, and G&A costs were developed by Ausenco from first principles.
- Sulphide processing costs benefit from a conventional flotation process design and low power costs. The targeted coarse grind size of 200 micron alleviates the need for a SAG mill.
- G&A costs estimates are based on a small camp and administration office at site. The majority of the work force will be Mexican nationals commuting daily from the local town of Parral. Parral is 25 km south of Cordero and has a population of approximately 100,000. It is the regional government centre in the southern part of Chihuahua State and has a well-established service industry that supports numerous local mining operations.
|Mining – Mill Feed||$/t mined||$2.16|
|Mining – Waste||$/t mined||$2.04|
|Processing – Heap leach crushed||$/t stacked||$3.84|
|Processing – Heap leach ROM||$/t stacked||$1.39|
|Processing – Milling (7.2 Mtpa)||$/t milled||$7.01|
|Processing – Milling (14.4 Mtpa)||$/t milled||$6.57|
|Site G&A (14.4 Mtpa)||$/t milled||$0.86|
Work completed during the preparation of the PEA outlined a number of opportunities that have the potential to improve the economic and ESG performance of the project:
- Mine life extension: there are over 300 Mt of Sulphide Resource that sit outside the PEA design pit but within the Resource pit shell. These resources as summarized below have the potential to extend the mine life and/or increase production levels at higher commodity prices.
Note – the full Resource is provided in the Appendix; further details can be found in the Company’s October 21, 2021, press release.
- Coarser grind size: metallurgical test work suggests higher recoveries may be achieved at coarse grind sizes (greater than the 200 micron used in the PEA). An evaluation of coarse particle flotation will be completed as part of the 2022 Prefeasibility Study (“PFS”). Coarse particle flotation has the potential to further reduce operating costs and water consumption.
- Dry stack tailings: an evaluation of using dry stacked tailings to improve ESG performance will be completed as part of the PFS.
- Inferred material, representing 0.9% of the mill feed, is included in the total mill feed. Inferred resources are considered too speculative geologically to have economic considerations applied to them that would enable them to be categorized as reserves.
- Mineral resources that are not mineral reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability
- Readers are cautioned that the PEA is preliminary in nature and that there is no certainty the estimates utilized in the PEA will be realized.
- A full technical report will be prepared in accordance with NI 43-101 and will be filed on SEDAR within 45 days of this press release.
- AgEq is calculated based on the following commodity prices: Ag - $22.00/oz, Au - $1,600/oz, Pb - $1.00/lb and Zn - $1.20/lb.
- All-in Sustaining cost (AISC) is calculated as: [Operating costs (mining, processing and G&A) + Royalties + Concentrate Transportation + Treatment & Refining Charges + Concentrate Penalties + Sustaining Capital (includes capital for TMF dams lifts with capacity for less than five years) + Closure Costs] / Payable AgEq ounces
An appendix with the following supporting information can be found at the end of the release or the following link: Appendices
Appendix A - Mineral Resource Estimate
Appendix B – After-Tax NPV/IRR/Payback Sensitivities
Appendix C - Pit Optimisation Parameters
Appendix D - LOM Mine Plan Summary
Appendix E - LOM Process Throughput Summary
Appendix F - Simplified Process Flowsheets
Appendix G – Metallurgical Balance Summary
Appendix H - Long Sections / Cross Sections
Appendix I - Site Layout
Appendix J - LOM Production & Cash Flow Schedule
Discovery’s flagship project is its 100%-owned Cordero project, one of the world’s largest silver deposits. The PEA completed in November 2021 demonstrates that Cordero has the potential to be developed into a highly capital efficient mine that offers the combination of margin, size and scaleability. Cordero is located close to infrastructure in a prolific mining belt in Chihuahua State, Mexico. Continued exploration and project development at Cordero is supported by an industry leading balance sheet with cash of over C$75 million. Discovery was a recipient of the 2020 TSX Venture 50 award and the 2021 OTCQX Best 50 award.
On Behalf of the Board of Directors,
Taj Singh, M.Eng, P.Eng, CPA,
President, Chief Executive Officer and Director
For further information contact:
The PEA for the Company’s Cordero project as summarized in this release was completed by Ausenco with support from by AGP and Knight Piésold. A full technical report supporting the PEA will be prepared in accordance with NI 43-101 and will be filed on SEDAR within 45 days of this press release. The scientific and technical content of this press release was reviewed and approved by Taj Singh, P Eng., President & CEO, who is a "Qualified Person" as defined by National Instrument 43-101 - Standards of Disclosure for Mineral Projects ("NI 43-101").
Neither TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.
This news release is not for distribution to United States newswire services or for dissemination in the United States.
This news release does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy nor shall there be any sale of any of the securities in any jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful, including any of the securities in the United States of America. The securities have not been and will not be registered under the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “1933 Act”) or any state securities laws and may not be offered or sold within the United States or to, or for account or benefit of, U.S. Persons (as defined in Regulation S under the 1933 Act) unless registered under the 1933 Act and applicable state securities laws, or an exemption from such registration requirements is available.
Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
This news release may include forward-looking statements that are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties. All statements within this news release, other than statements of historical fact, are to be considered forward looking. Although Discovery believes the expectations expressed in such forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, such statements are not guarantees of future performance and actual results or developments may differ materially from those described in forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in forward-looking statements include fluctuations in market prices, including metal prices, continued availability of capital and financing, and general economic, market or business conditions. There can be no assurances that such statements will prove accurate and, therefore, readers are advised to rely on their own evaluation of such uncertainties. Discovery does not assume any obligation to update any forward-looking statements except as required under applicable laws.